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The falling diplomatic dominoes

Aggregated Source: China Rises: Notes from the Middle Kingdom
June 17, 2007|

If I had to put money on it, I’d say Taiwan is about to lose a few more diplomatic allies. Its wallet isn’t big enough to please its “friends.”

The dominoes of Central America are already beginning to topple. Costa Rica broke with Taiwan and established relations with China on June 1, and Nicaragua will soon follow.

Shortly after breaking with Taiwan June 1, Costa Rican President Oscar Arias put it in black and white: “I was always critical of the Taiwanese, and I can say now that I always told them ... if you want to have friends in the world, you should be more generous.”

So it’s all about money, isn’t it? 

Taiwan now only has 24 states that recognize it, mostly in Central America and the Caribbean, the South Pacific and Africa, and it is in a battle of “dollar diplomacy” against China over diplomatic recognition. China claims Taiwan as part of its territory.

Daniel Ortega, the mustachioed former revolutionary who leads Nicaragua, sent an emissary to China earlier this month, apparently to negotiate a diplomatic switcheroo.

When asked last week if Nicaragua would drop ties with Taipei, Nicaraguan Foreign Minister Samuel Santos gave a tepid response: “Nowadays we have diplomatic relations with Taiwan.”

But who knows what’ll happen next week?

Santos acknowledged that the ruling leftist Sandinista Front in Nicaragua has “magnificent relations” with the Communist Party of China.

A year ago, Ortega said during his presidential campaign that he would establish full diplomatic relations with China if elected and limit ties with Taiwan to trade.

It’s just a matter of time.



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